WBB Wk.17 Poll Oregon drops to #6

[Merganzer]

http://www.espn.com/womens-college-basketball/rankings

6. Oregon 25-3
7. Stanford 23-4
9. Oregon State 23-5
21. ASU 18-8
25. UCLA 17-11

[UOducksTK1]

I wonder if not having Hebard for the UCLA loss will factor into seeding.

[maxduck]

It should, she is almost a co-mvp with Sabrina, and Oregon is at a different level with her on the floor.

[Merganzer]

I wonder if not having Hebard for the UCLA loss will factor into seeding.

History says it should. When a team loses a significant player and her/his absence is noticeable in a loss, to OSU & UCLA, and noticeable, in her return in a win, USC, it is taken in to account.

[bigsugarduck]

I dont think it will matter in the end. If Oregon wins out they should be a #1, but if for some reason they are a #2 it will be in the West. In that scenario, whoever is #1 having to play Oregon at home is going to be bummed out...

[gogreen55]

So what is the minimum the women need to do in order to likely the enter the tournament no worse than a #2 seed? I haven't followed the women bracketology at all, so I have no idea.

If we sweep the Arizona schools, would be no worse than a #2 seed, even if we lost the first game in the Pac-12 tournament?

If we split against the Arizona schools and then lose the first game in the Pac-12 tournament, would that knock us below a #2 seed?

If we lose both games to the Arizona schools, would we then need to win the Pac-12 tournament to get back up to a #2 seed?

[Merganzer]

So what is the minimum the women need to do in order to likely the enter the tournament no worse than a #2 seed? I haven't followed the women bracketology at all, so I have no idea.

If we sweep the Arizona schools, would be no worse than a #2 seed, even if we lost the first game in the Pac-12 tournament?

If we split against the Arizona schools and then lose the first game in the Pac-12 tournament, would that knock us below a #2 seed?

If we lose both games to the Arizona schools, would we then need to win the Pac-12 tournament to get back up to a #2 seed?

A loss on the road trip would hurt. It would be 4 L's, and would definitely drop Oregon to the end of the 2 line. Get through Arizona, but lose in the first round, again, a #2 Seed.
Lose both games to Arizona & ASU, panic would ensue, as even winning the conference tournament would then have the Ducks a 3 at best.
Should Oregon sweep the rest of the season, and win the tournament, a 1 is very possible, but it would also involve, Baylor, UCONN, Notre Dame & Louisville. Get past Arizona & ASU, lose the championship game, probably a #2.

[shoparound]

Biggest obstacle to the Portland regional really is just making sure we do better than Stanford and Oregon State.
At any point we lose, one of them will jump and grab the Pac-12 representation there and everything else is not guaranteed. Both Oregon St and UCLA losses really hurt more than they seem.

[Merganzer]

Remaining games: 6 Oregon @ Arizona, 6 Oregon @ 21 ASU
9 OSU @ 21 ASU, 9 OSU @ Arizona
7 Stanford @ WSU, 7 Stanford @ UW