Agreed.73duck wrote:I don't think you guys are factoring in the probability of an injury. A true freshman plus whoever doesn't transfer out is not much of a QB room if someone gets hurt. History shows that Oregon gets its pick of top-quality transfers.
Another consideration with Bo Nix and where he'd go in the NFL draft is the systems he's played in. He's done well in his second season under Dillingham and there's an obvious connection there.
The things to consider is that he played well his first year at Auburn against SEC defenses (and us), but was pretty average after Dillingham left. Now he's doing well again at Oregon. He had decent talent around him that year at Auburn, as he does now at Oregon.
So a few things to consider are years 2-3 at Auburn, as well as the fact that this Oregon team has one of the best O-Line's in the country.
He also won't be asked to run nearly as much in the NFL, so he'll be forced to stay in the pocket, go through his progressions and only run if the pocket breaks down.
We've seen "good Bo" under pressure since the EWU game. However, that wasn't the case in years 2-3 at Auburn.
One good year at Oregon may help him but it's hard to say how much. Again, he's had great protection and skilled players around him.
I look at players now like Trey Lance, who struggled before getting injured, though he showed some flashes of brilliance last year, as well as Justin Fields, Baker Mayfield, etc.
If Nix is drafted in the mid-late rounds as a project that can be brought in and sit behind an established QB for awhile, in a system that's a good fit for him, for a team who has a decent O-Line, etc...
...I guess we can draw our own conclusions.
I think a second year at Oregon, where he doesn't have that great O-Line, would be more telling. Then again, you run the risk of injury by staying.
Time will tell.
By the way, I voted to bring in a proven transfer. If TT or BB were ready to play Nix wouldn't have been brought in. Better to have a good QB in place and a talented backup on the bench. I'll take "proven" talent over "potential" anytime. Add game experience to that and there's little question.
My two bits.
