Boom wrote: Tue Jul 07, 2026 9:52 pm
Portland ranked 27th in 3pt shooting last season. It's going to be ugly when Ja and Deni are on the court together. Defense will also be ugly whenever Jrue's not on the court. This is a play in team at best next season.
I was told that Lillard was going to be an all-star, floor-stretching, second-best player on the team with his amazing shooting, and that he will be starting and finishing games with big minutes, so I'm not sure what this negativity is about. It's almost like you think adding him will have little or no effect on the Blazers' level of play.
Speaking of minutes, it's kind of fun to project how many each player will be getting:
Toumani played 33 mpg last year at power forward.
Deni also had 33mpg at small forward. Sidy Cissoko averaged 19 mpg. With 6'8'' Vít Krejčí also on the team, that probably covers the small forward spot under normal circumstances.
RWIII and Clingan will presumably be covering the center 48 minutes most nights, with Hansen and Carlson getting garbage minutes. There might be times when two of these are on the floor at once taking power forward minutes?
That leaves roughly 15 minutes at power forward, and 96 minutes at the guard positions for Jrue, Scoot, Ja, Lillard, and Sharpe. Who gets the minutes?
• Jrue played 30mpg last season. Maybe he gets a little less, like 25? He makes $35 million this year, and has been singled out by the new coach Nori as an important part of the team. He is also the most effective team leader the Blazers have on the roster.
• Scoot played 25 mpg when he came back from injury. He averaged 29 in the playoffs.
• Ja is the highest-paid player on the team and says in the NYT article that he is fully healthy. How many minutes does he get? He normally plays over 30 mpg.
• Sharpe seems to be in the doghouse, but he also is accustomed to 30 mpg when healthy.
• Lillard openly balked at Nori in his interview saying he would ease him in at 24 mpg. Sounds like he wants more like 30 as well.
so that is 96 minutes for guys that would normally play 140-150. Maybe they do some staggering where Deni plays the four and Sharpe plays the three in order to pick up those extra 15 that Toumani isn't out there. That still leaves 30-40 minutes that have to be cut somewhere. Maybe Sharpe plays less, but how much less? The guy is under contract for four years and over $20 million/yr and he is the most natural shooting guard on the team. Maybe Vit and Sidy aren't part of the rotation at all, opening up another 15 minutes at wing. I think Sidy will play though; he has been mentioned as one of the rising talents on the team, and he is in a contract year, just like Scoot. You don't leave those guys to stew on the bench and then think they will want to re-sign.
It's a pretty interesting problem, and it explains why they haven't been in a hurry to fill those last two roster spots. They are about $10-12 million under the tax threshold. I think they might just stick with this roster unless a really good trade pops up, or a free agent forward who can't find a chair when the free-agent music stops agrees to come to Portland on a below-market contract. That way they can make an uneven trade if necessary and still stay out the tax.