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Can Oregon still make the NCAAs?

Posted: Sat Jan 27, 2018 9:27 am
by northbeachsf
Oregon is sitting at 90 in the RPI right now with not a ton of chances left to move up. I honestly think they have to win the next five in a row just to enter the discussion. PAC-12 tourney may be the only way In right now.

Re: Can Oregon still make the NCAAs?

Posted: Sat Jan 27, 2018 11:49 am
by Phalanx
I really don't understand how anyone can expect Altman to lose Brooks, Bell, Dorsey, Boucher, Benson, and Ennis and still make it to the tournament. Having watched several games this season, it is pretty obvious that the team this year just doesn't have the talent/ experience to beat tough teams.

The good news is that the cavalry is on its way and next year should be the start of another era in duck basketball. Having been a duck basketball fan since the Monson years when having a winning record at all was considered a good season, I am content to wait through a rebuilding year.

Re: Can Oregon still make the NCAAs?

Posted: Sat Jan 27, 2018 1:23 pm
by pudgejeff
Phalanx wrote:I really don't understand how anyone can expect Altman to lose Brooks, Bell, Dorsey, Boucher, Benson, and Ennis and still make it to the tournament. Having watched several games this season, it is pretty obvious that the team this year just doesn't have the talent/ experience to beat tough teams.

The good news is that the cavalry is on its way and next year should be the start of another era in duck basketball. Having been a duck basketball fan since the Monson years when having a winning record at all was considered a good season, I am content to wait through a rebuilding year.
I'm not sure anyone is "expecting" it. But Dana's teams tend to get better as the year goes on so I think people are holding out hope for that this year and them to sneak in.

Re: Can Oregon still make the NCAAs?

Posted: Sat Jan 27, 2018 3:15 pm
by UOducksTK1
If we lose only two of the rest of our regular season schedule, sure.

Re: Can Oregon still make the NCAAs?

Posted: Sat Jan 27, 2018 3:30 pm
by GrantDuck
Unlikely, but possible.

We played too many 250+ RPI teams in the non-con and didn't get any key wins.

Two ways in: Beat Arizona, get 21+ wins overall(including ct); probably gets us to at LEAST the bubble.

Win ct; possible this season with a down pac-12.

Re: Can Oregon still make the NCAAs?

Posted: Sat Jan 27, 2018 4:13 pm
by Kyle's Brother
Possible? Yeah. We've all seen enough Altman teams to know not to count him out.

Likely? I don't think so. Too many poor decision makers and players that don't take care of the fundamentals.

Re: Can Oregon still make the NCAAs?

Posted: Sun Jan 28, 2018 12:12 am
by mattc94
They would have to go on a run that would be more difficult than the March dash that the Joseph Young led Ducks made.

Re: Can Oregon still make the NCAAs?

Posted: Sun Jan 28, 2018 9:50 am
by northbeachsf
RPI is now 82. Have to at least get to the high 40s to have a shot.

Re: Can Oregon still make the NCAAs?

Posted: Sun Jan 28, 2018 4:09 pm
by GrantDuck
northbeachsf wrote:RPI is now 82. Have to at least get to the high 40s to have a shot.
50's can get you into the play-ins these days...depends on the rest of the bubble.

Re: Can Oregon still make the NCAAs?

Posted: Sun Jan 28, 2018 11:14 pm
by OG Duck
There are ten conference games remaining. I think Oregon needs 7-8 wins to stay alive. If starting the conference tourney with 21 or 22 wins, with another win in the conference tourney, a bubble bid seems plausible. We've definitely seen the selection committee give Oregon the benefit of the doubt before, so in the words of Kevin Garnett, ANYTHING IS POSSIBLE!!!!

Re: Can Oregon still make the NCAAs?

Posted: Mon Jan 29, 2018 7:22 am
by northbeachsf
OG Duck wrote:There are ten conference games remaining. I think Oregon needs 7-8 wins to stay alive. If starting the conference tourney with 21 or 22 wins, with another win in the conference tourney, a bubble bid seems plausible. We've definitely seen the selection committee give Oregon the benefit of the doubt before, so in the words of Kevin Garnett, ANYTHING IS POSSIBLE!!!!
If they can take out the Bay Area schools and the Washington schools, which is possible.....they would be sitting at 8-4 and in third place in the conference. Have to rip off the next four I think. All four of those teams have RPIs under 50. Can’t afford a loss

Re: Can Oregon still make the NCAAs?

Posted: Mon Jan 29, 2018 8:55 am
by Merganzer
northbeachsf wrote:
OG Duck wrote:There are ten conference games remaining. I think Oregon needs 7-8 wins to stay alive. If starting the conference tourney with 21 or 22 wins, with another win in the conference tourney, a bubble bid seems plausible. We've definitely seen the selection committee give Oregon the benefit of the doubt before, so in the words of Kevin Garnett, ANYTHING IS POSSIBLE!!!!
If they can take out the Bay Area schools and the Washington schools, which is possible.....they would be sitting at 8-4 and in third place in the conference. Have to rip off the next four I think. All four of those teams have RPIs under 50. Can’t afford a loss
RPI

https://www.cbssports.com/collegebasket ... ence/PAC12

Washington 50
Oregon 82
Stanford 90
WSU 164
Cal 182

Re: Can Oregon still make the NCAAs?

Posted: Mon Jan 29, 2018 1:33 pm
by bigsugarduck
Yep, got to win the next 4 to get to 8-4 and then we should talk postseason in earnest...

Oregon still has not played anywhere near potential yet, which is why I am optimistic...if they get steady improvement to close the season it could be a rip-roaring finish...