Best guess

[nogerO]

Georgia 9-0
Ohio State 9-0
Michigan 9-0
TCU 9-0
Tennessee 8-1
Oregon 8-1
Clemson 8-1
Mississippi 8-1
LSU 7-2
Alabama 7-2
USC 8-1
UCLA 8-1
Notre Dame-just because

Gotta have 5 SEC teams in the top ten so they can justify 2 SEC teams in the Final Four. Tell me I’m wrong.

[chapelhillduck]

Georgia 9-0
Ohio State 9-0
Michigan 9-0
TCU 9-0
Tennessee 8-1
Oregon 8-1
Clemson 8-1
Mississippi 8-1
LSU 7-2
Alabama 7-2
USC 8-1
UCLA 8-1

Gotta have 5 SEC teams in the top ten so they can justify 2 SEC teams in the Final Four. Tell me I’m wrong.

I think Notre Dame is in there above TCU, because they’re Notre Dame

(Kidding, kidding….but)


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[buckmarkduck]

Herbstreit has us 4 fwiw.

[UOducksTK1]

I think we will be 6. Don’t really care outside of that. If Oregon wins out, and TCU loses a game, Oregon will get into playoffs.

[Tray Dub]

The hard scenario is if TCU wins out and it's an Oregon vs Tennessee debate. We would point to a conference championship and the fact that our loss was a long time ago; Tennessee would argue they have better wins and played Georgia closer. I know the cfb media would have a field day dissecting the resumes, but I don't know which side the committee would come down on.

[Alan]

I think Georgia at 1 is obvious and should have been obvious last Tuesday, how the heck they put Tennessee at 1 was a head shaker for me. Oregon at 6 sounds right, but lots of chaos to happen yet. Ohio St has to play Michigan and then the title game, SEC is not done beating up each other and I watched most of the TT vs TCU game, TCU is not worthy, they will fall once or twice more. The Duck need to win out but a few tough weeks ahead.

[pezsez1]

With 'Bama and Clemson losing, I've gone from thinking "no chance in hell" to "we should be in if we win out." The *should* is largely based on our one-loss season being more impressive than an undefeated TCU season, but who knows how the committee will feel about that.

Seems safe to say though that if Georgia came to Autzen this weekend it would be a dramatically different outcome.

[OregonFan4Life]

I’d be willing to bet that Texas beats TCU at home next Saturday. TCU does not belong, they’re really lucky to be 9-0. Texas will be fired up and I see Texas winning by multiple scores.

[bdkipe]

I would think The Football Gods owe us after:

*had an outside chance after a Game 1 loss

(got there)

BCS ERA: 2001 - Special Teams debacle v Stanford
BCS ERA: *2007 - still too soon
BCS ERA: *2009 - Death by Gerhart
(BCS ERA: 2010 - Dyer Was Down & Cliff picked it off)
BCS ERA: *2011 - Chip mismanages final minutes v Lane
BCS ERA: 2012 - DAT needs to turn around + Ertz benefits from the usual stellar P12 officiting
BCS ERA: 2013 - letting the Tree beat you 2x
(2014 - Pellum + a billion injuries + a receiver who couldn't wait until the offseason to hit the blunt)
*2019 - Lenoir...situational awareness bro
*2021 - Mario's philosophy chickens come home to roost

[buckmarkduck]

I would think The Football Gods owe us after:

*had an outside chance after a Game 1 loss

(got there)

BCS ERA: 2001 - Special Teams debacle v Stanford
BCS ERA: *2007 - still too soon
BCS ERA: *2009 - Death by Gerhart
(BCS ERA: 2010 - Dyer Was Down & Cliff picked it off)
BCS ERA: *2011 - Chip mismanages final minutes v Lane
BCS ERA: 2012 - DAT needs to turn around + Ertz benefits from the usual stellar P12 officiting
BCS ERA: 2013 - letting the Tree beat you 2x
(2014 - Pellum + a billion injuries + a receiver who couldn't wait until the offseason to hit the blunt)
*2019 - Lenoir...situational awareness bro
*2021 - Mario's philosophy chickens come home to roost

2001- Miami would have blasted us
2007- I get it’s easy to say we win it all, but there is still that pesky L to a average Cal team at home.
2009? I’ve never seen anyone think that year had potential to win a title
2010- I’m convinced more now then ever, if we had a QB sneak from under center, we win by 10.
2011- Bama would have beat us.
2012- This is the year we blew it. ND wasn’t great, we would have won by 2 td’s.
2014-Really, blame Chip for not letting Shaq play baseball and not recruiting Vanderdoes even though he wanted to come to UO. Those two guys at least give out D a fighting chance.
2019- No way we beat LSU. And Lenoir isn’t to blame. The team wasn’t prepared at all. We played like dog crap.

[SuperDuck]

Georgia 9-0
Ohio State 9-0
Michigan 9-0
TCU 9-0
Tennessee 8-1
Oregon 8-1
Clemson 8-1
Mississippi 8-1
LSU 7-2
Alabama 7-2
USC 8-1
UCLA 8-1
Notre Dame-just because

Gotta have 5 SEC teams in the top ten so they can justify 2 SEC teams in the Final Four. Tell me I’m wrong.

I agree except you need to bump LSU over Mississippi because they beat them a couple weeks ago. I think I might put Alabama ahead of them, too.

[pdxduck2013]

I'll probably end up being wrong, but I think this could be a year where you only see one SEC team in the playoff if TCU wins out, the Big 10 champ is undefeated, and the Pac 12 champion only has 1 loss. In this scenario, my guess would be this:
Georgia
Ohio St or Michigan
TCU
Oregon/USC/UCLA

If Georgia goes undefeated, the team they're beating in the SEC title game would have two losses.

[duck023]

I think we will be 6. Don’t really care outside of that. If Oregon wins out, and TCU loses a game, Oregon will get into playoffs.

I agree I think all Oregon fans should get on board with just focus on winning the remaining Pac 12 games. I'm way more worried about the Pac 12 teams Oregon still has to play then I'm worried about TCU being undefeated or them trying to pull a fast one with Tennessee which won't work in the public eye.