Hypothetical Playoff Chance For Oregon?

[bellsduck]

Oregon will for sure get in over 11-1 Tennessee or 11-1 Michigan

Oregon would finish: playing 4 ranked teams, including 2 in the top 10-15 & have an extra win & a 12 game winning streak & a conference championship.

Michigan would have 1 top 25 win and Tennessee finishes with no marquee matchups and no conference or division title.

I don't think there's anything wrong with your logic, but I think you're underestimating how much the playoff committee overvalues the southeastern conference and name brands.

Listening to these guys right now and I think some of them want there to be 3 SEC teams in the final 4. You realize this is all for TV and ESPN controls the SEC TV. No I don't really think it would happen, but if LSU wins out, Tennessee wins out, Georgia loses in the SEC title game, Oregon, Michigan, and TCU lose?

[greenyellow]

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[Duck07]

Good point about expansion. That Bama loss wouldn't have felt as big when you know Bama would still make it to the CFP.

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[Tray Dub]

Good point about expansion. That Bama loss wouldn't have felt as big when you know Bama would still make it to the CFP.

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There's always tradeoffs, with playoff expansion in any sport it's devaluing the regular season in exchange for a more fun and inclusive playoff. Time will tell whether the change feels worth it, but I do think it'll be a ton of fun watching the four rounds of a 12-team playoff in December and January. And Oregon will obviously have a much better shot at making it each year.

[dthomas=ddixon]

You could argue that Bama’s remaining games have no meaning because they aren’t making the CFP now. A 12 team playoff would also add meaning to games which currently have none.


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[pezsez1]

Agree, the playoff expansion will create MORE playoff-style games throughout the regular season. This isn't basketball or baseball... football seasons are short, and teams have little room for error, even with expansion. College football will only be better for it.

[ducks5ever]

Isn't a NY6 game still on the table for Alabama? Pretty sure the regular season definitely still matters even if teams like Alabama won't make the playoffs.

And I disagree. Playoff expansion gives a lot less meaning to the regular season. Does it even matter who wins Georgia/Tennessee, Ohio State Michigan, competitive conference championship winners, etc.

[droop10]

Isn't a NY6 game still on the table for Alabama? Pretty sure the regular season definitely still matters even if teams like Alabama won't make the playoffs.

And I disagree. Playoff expansion gives a lot less meaning to the regular season. Does it even matter who wins Georgia/Tennessee, Ohio State Michigan, competitive conference championship winners, etc.

I think you are mistaken in believing that Bama or their fans care about NY6 games. If they play in a game outside of the playoff, I would suspect at least 5-10 guys on their team sit out the game. That said, I also disagree that the playoff devalues the playoff. If anything, it gives more teams a realistic shot at making it. We're still only talking about 12 teams out of 125 that will make it. Conference championships will be important to get a bye, which significantly increases chances to win the championship.

[OregonFan4Life]

Isn't a NY6 game still on the table for Alabama? Pretty sure the regular season definitely still matters even if teams like Alabama won't make the playoffs.

And I disagree. Playoff expansion gives a lot less meaning to the regular season. Does it even matter who wins Georgia/Tennessee, Ohio State Michigan, competitive conference championship winners, etc.

If it were just 1-12 seeds yes, but the benefits of being conference champs definitely makes those games more valuable, and while you could argue OOC games might not matter, the big ones are so early that they may not impact conference championships but nobody knows how the season progresses, the combo of pride and unpredictability of the season will motivate teams to win those big non-conference games. Heck even in college basketball the top teams usually win their conference tournaments mostly out of pride. I don’t see this change causing college football to be like the NFL where players sit the last week or two depending on playoff seeding, only maybe if they’re undefeated and have a multiple game lead going into the conference championship could that happen. This is definitely a very positive change for college football.

[buckmarkduck]

College isn’t the pros. Most of these teams play hard every game. Dumb to think they wouldn’t because the playoffs expand. And fans will still take rivalries just as serious as ever.

[Tray Dub]

There also will be the big advantage of being ranked 1-4 for getting a bye, and the moderate advantage of 5-8 getting home-field advantage in the first round. There will still be things to play for.

[duck023]

I've always liked the Sun Bowl I hope Oregon goes and wins that Bowl this year.

[SuperDuck]

I've always liked the Sun Bowl I hope Oregon goes and wins that Bowl this year.

Vs Miami?

[duck023]

I've always liked the Sun Bowl I hope Oregon goes and wins that Bowl this year.

Vs Miami?

That wouldn't be bad or North Carolina. I'd like Oregon to play one of those ACC teams. I'd really like Oregon in the Gator Bowl, but they never let Oregon in the Gator Bowl.

[nogerO]

Nun