Success on four stars
Moderators: greenyellow, UOducksTK1
- Quietduck
- Four Star Recruit
- Posts: 623
- Joined: Sat Jan 10, 2009 11:43 pm
Success on four stars
Based on your experience what percentage do you think we will get out of our 4 star recruits from 2019:
Superstar 5%
Star 25%
Contributor 40%
Bust 15%
Transfer/Medical/Drop 15%
Superstar 5%
Star 25%
Contributor 40%
Bust 15%
Transfer/Medical/Drop 15%
- UofDuck
- Senior
- Posts: 3945
- Joined: Sat Jan 10, 2009 11:51 pm
Re: Success on four stars
I think your estimate is close on the aggregate. For discussion sakes, let's assume we land 20 4*'s, here is how your % breakout:Quietduck wrote:Based on your experience what percentage do you think we will get out of our 4 star recruits from 2019:
Superstar 5%
Star 25%
Contributor 40%
Bust 15%
Transfer/Medical/Drop 15%
Superstars = 1
Star = 5
Contributor. = 8
Bust = 3
Transfer/Med/Drop = 3
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Duck24
- Senior
- Posts: 4744
- Joined: Mon Jan 12, 2009 12:36 am
- Location: Portland, OR
Re: Success on four stars
How do you define superstar and star? Is a superstar an All American and star is All Pac-12?
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pdxduck2013
- Freshman
- Posts: 1431
- Joined: Sun Jul 28, 2013 5:20 pm
Re: Success on four stars
Marcus Mariota vs. Michael Clay?Duck24 wrote:How do you define superstar and star? Is a superstar an All American and star is All Pac-12?
- Duck07
- All-American
- Posts: 17123
- Joined: Mon Jan 12, 2009 8:36 am
- Location: Parts Unknown
Re: Success on four stars
Well Marcus is in a tier of his own. I'd say a better comp is LMJ vs Barner.pdxduck2013 wrote:Marcus Mariota vs. Michael Clay?Duck24 wrote:How do you define superstar and star? Is a superstar an All American and star is All Pac-12?

- Duckenstein
- Freshman
- Posts: 1433
- Joined: Tue Jun 14, 2016 7:43 pm
Re: Success on four stars
I think it was Mosely who said 1/3 will be starters, 1/3 will contribute, 1/3 will never play
- UOducksTK1
- Site Admin

- Posts: 40593
- Joined: Thu Jan 08, 2009 11:28 pm
- GM: Boston Celtics GM
- Location: Portland, Oregon
Re: Success on four stars
It’d be interesting to see how our past classes have done with this categorizing.

Do Not Fear. Isaiah 41:13
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Merganzer
- Senior
- Posts: 3656
- Joined: Sat Apr 15, 2017 10:42 am
Re: Success on four stars
According toUOducksTK1 wrote:It’d be interesting to see how our past classes have done with this categorizing.
2010: L. Seastrunk (5), C. White, R. Heimuli, D. Mathis, D. Williams, J. Huff, N. Rowland, K. Lowe, R. Clanton, B. Bennett, E. Dargan .T. Wallace (4) https://247sports.com/college/oregon/Se ... l/Commits/
2011: I. Olumo, T. Johnstone, C. French. (4) https://247sports.com/college/oregon/Se ... l/Commits/
2012: A. Armstead (5) P. Brown, E. Bayliss, J. Rodrigues, R. Daniels, B. Addison, B. Marshall, A. Balducci, D. Buckner, K. Long, D. Stanford (4) https://247sports.com/college/oregon/Se ... l/Commits/
2013: T. Tyner (5) Tyree Tobinson, Tyrell Robinson, T. Prevot, D. Carrington, D. Allen, E. Voeller, C. Hunt (4) https://247sports.com/college/oregon/Se ... l/Commits/
2014: R. Freeman, A. Springs, J. Brown, M. Malalak, T. Brooks James, J. Swai
n, H. Louisi (4) https://247sports.com/college/oregon/Se ... l/Commits/
2015: C. Kaumatule (5) T. Griffin, T. Jonsen, A. Ofodile, M. Lovette, K. Merritt, Z. Okun (4) https://247sports.com/college/oregon/Se ... l/Commits/
2016: D. Mitchell, T. Wallace, B. Young, L. Winston, B. Breeze, D. Franklin (4) https://247sports.com/college/oregon/Se ... l/Commits/
2017: D. Lenoir, T. Graham, J. Redd, B, Burmeister, https://247sports.com/college/oregon/Se ... l/Commits/
2018 P. Sewell, B. Addison, J. Hall, S. Stephens, T. Shough, J. Holland, A. Johnson, I. Crocker, S. Webb, S. Jones, D. Jaramillo, J. Elliott https://247sports.com/college/oregon/Se ... l/Commits/
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gogreen55
- Senior
- Posts: 2369
- Joined: Sat Apr 30, 2011 8:39 pm
Re: Success on four stars
Wow, 2015 was a near complete bust.
Hopefully Taj has a good senior season.
Hopefully Taj has a good senior season.
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Merganzer
- Senior
- Posts: 3656
- Joined: Sat Apr 15, 2017 10:42 am
Re: Success on four stars
For some reason, D. Thomas wasn't listed in the 2011 Class.
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gogreen55
- Senior
- Posts: 2369
- Joined: Sat Apr 30, 2011 8:39 pm
Re: Success on four stars
More classes like 2012, please.
- GoDucksTroll
- Sophomore
- Posts: 1742
- Joined: Wed Sep 07, 2016 9:34 am
Re: Success on four stars
I’ve been meaning to do a write up on the 2015 class. I’ve been working and traveling a lot, and my dedicated Duck hobby time has been spent on graphics but I’ll try to do one this week.gogreen55 wrote:Wow, 2015 was a near complete bust.![]()
Hopefully Taj has a good senior season.
It’s fascinating just how bad the top end of that class was. Bad luck was a factor, as was sloppy recruiting. It should have been one of the best classes in school history with our brand and momentum being at an all time high, but instead it’s become an anchor on the current state of the program. With some of the pieces we have we should be in top-10 territory, but the misses in this class have decimated our depth.
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spacefrog13x
- Three Star Recruit
- Posts: 393
- Joined: Sun Jan 11, 2009 1:40 am
Re: Success on four stars
that 2013 list is half knuckleheads as well.
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maxduck
- Senior
- Posts: 3763
- Joined: Sun Jan 11, 2009 4:37 pm
Re: Success on four stars
Wasn't 2015 the first full recruiting cycle without Nick Aliotti on staff? I always heard he was one of the better recruitersgogreen55 wrote:Wow, 2015 was a near complete bust.![]()
Hopefully Taj has a good senior season.
- greenyellow
- Moderator

- Posts: 39224
- Joined: Sun Jan 11, 2009 6:54 pm
- Location: Eugene, OR
Re: Success on four stars
It was.maxduck wrote:Wasn't 2015 the first full recruiting cycle without Nick Aliotti on staff? I always heard he was one of the better recruitersgogreen55 wrote:Wow, 2015 was a near complete bust.![]()
Hopefully Taj has a good senior season.
