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Based on your experience what percentage do you think we will get out of our 4 star recruits from 2019:

Superstar 5%
Star 25%
Contributor 40%
Bust 15%
Transfer/Medical/Drop 15%

Quietduck wrote:Based on your experience what percentage do you think we will get out of our 4 star recruits from 2019:

Superstar 5%
Star 25%
Contributor 40%
Bust 15%
Transfer/Medical/Drop 15%

I think your estimate is close on the aggregate. For discussion sakes, let's assume we land 20 4*'s, here is how your % breakout:

Superstars = 1
Star = 5
Contributor. = 8
Bust = 3
Transfer/Med/Drop = 3

How do you define superstar and star? Is a superstar an All American and star is All Pac-12?

Duck24 wrote:How do you define superstar and star? Is a superstar an All American and star is All Pac-12?

Marcus Mariota vs. Michael Clay?

pdxduck2013 wrote:

Duck24 wrote:How do you define superstar and star? Is a superstar an All American and star is All Pac-12?

Marcus Mariota vs. Michael Clay?

Well Marcus is in a tier of his own. I'd say a better comp is LMJ vs Barner.

I think it was Mosely who said 1/3 will be starters, 1/3 will contribute, 1/3 will never play

It’d be interesting to see how our past classes have done with this categorizing.

UOducksTK1 wrote:It’d be interesting to see how our past classes have done with this categorizing.

According to

2010: L. Seastrunk (5), C. White, R. Heimuli, D. Mathis, D. Williams, J. Huff, N. Rowland, K. Lowe, R. Clanton, B. Bennett, E. Dargan .T. Wallace (4) https://247sports.com/college/oregon/Se ... l/Commits/

2011: I. Olumo, T. Johnstone, C. French. (4) https://247sports.com/college/oregon/Se ... l/Commits/

2012: A. Armstead (5) P. Brown, E. Bayliss, J. Rodrigues, R. Daniels, B. Addison, B. Marshall, A. Balducci, D. Buckner, K. Long, D. Stanford (4) https://247sports.com/college/oregon/Se ... l/Commits/

2013: T. Tyner (5) Tyree Tobinson, Tyrell Robinson, T. Prevot, D. Carrington, D. Allen, E. Voeller, C. Hunt (4) https://247sports.com/college/oregon/Se ... l/Commits/

2014: R. Freeman, A. Springs, J. Brown, M. Malalak, T. Brooks James, J. Swai
n, H. Louisi (4) https://247sports.com/college/oregon/Se ... l/Commits/

2015: C. Kaumatule (5) T. Griffin, T. Jonsen, A. Ofodile, M. Lovette, K. Merritt, Z. Okun (4) https://247sports.com/college/oregon/Se ... l/Commits/

2016: D. Mitchell, T. Wallace, B. Young, L. Winston, B. Breeze, D. Franklin (4) https://247sports.com/college/oregon/Se ... l/Commits/

2017: D. Lenoir, T. Graham, J. Redd, B, Burmeister, https://247sports.com/college/oregon/Se ... l/Commits/

2018 P. Sewell, B. Addison, J. Hall, S. Stephens, T. Shough, J. Holland, A. Johnson, I. Crocker, S. Webb, S. Jones, D. Jaramillo, J. Elliott https://247sports.com/college/oregon/Se ... l/Commits/

Wow, 2015 was a near complete bust.

Hopefully Taj has a good senior season.

For some reason, D. Thomas wasn't listed in the 2011 Class.

More classes like 2012, please.

gogreen55 wrote:Wow, 2015 was a near complete bust.

Hopefully Taj has a good senior season.

I’ve been meaning to do a write up on the 2015 class. I’ve been working and traveling a lot, and my dedicated Duck hobby time has been spent on graphics but I’ll try to do one this week.

It’s fascinating just how bad the top end of that class was. Bad luck was a factor, as was sloppy recruiting. It should have been one of the best classes in school history with our brand and momentum being at an all time high, but instead it’s become an anchor on the current state of the program. With some of the pieces we have we should be in top-10 territory, but the misses in this class have decimated our depth.

that 2013 list is half knuckleheads as well.

gogreen55 wrote:Wow, 2015 was a near complete bust.

Hopefully Taj has a good senior season.

Wasn't 2015 the first full recruiting cycle without Nick Aliotti on staff? I always heard he was one of the better recruiters

maxduck wrote:

gogreen55 wrote:Wow, 2015 was a near complete bust.

Hopefully Taj has a good senior season.

Wasn't 2015 the first full recruiting cycle without Nick Aliotti on staff? I always heard he was one of the better recruiters

It was.